This great event will be on at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glandale AZ and the 1st thing to analize is the field, a field covered by a retractable roof that in my opinion will be close and this goes in favor of the winner of the AFC due to the better pass offense and the need of passing more the ball than their opponents, the fans is the 2nd factor to analize, i don't think that even if the local fans are rivals of the Seahawks they will root for the Pats after the deflate ball scandal and about the noise i think the 12th man of Seattle will bring an advantage to the NFC Champions, 3rd and the most important in this discussion, the PRESSURE!!! I think that both team have huge pressure as it always happen in the Super Bowl but the fact that Brady lost his last 2 Super Bowls against in my opinion weaker teams than the this year Seahawks and most of all with better o-line and WR core this will have some effect on Brady's mind even if he his habituated to play Super Bowls in fact tis will be his 6th of a great career.
Seahawks offense vs Patriots defense
The best thing Seattle can do against the NE's defense is run the ball and multiple ways, in my opinion they won't change their approach to the game that brought them here, they have just to improve some aspects of the game like the short passes, Wilson will need to be precise because Belichick is very good to put the opponents' QBs in uncomfortable situations taking away the zone and the players that the QB prefers to pass the ball. Wilson will not have easy life to pass the ball down field due to consistent secondary of the Pats lead by Revis who will shutdown whoever he will want in Seattle uniform plus McCourthy who is the FS designed to help over the top and not only there the dangerous route that Wilson used in recent weeks. Collins and Ninkovich will have an important role counting Wilson in the pocket and make him becoming a pure pocket passer something that he isn't. The biggest threat for the Pats will be Beast Mode Marshawn Lynch who has the power and the physical skills to beat the interior part of their defense that's why Wilfork and Higtower in particular are called to play the game of their lives because everything in this matchup rotating around stop Lynch in all of the rushing situations.
In this matchup i see an huge advantage of the Seahawks on the ground and an huge 1 too on the air for the Pats.
Patriots offense vs Seahawks defense
Brady short passes vs Seattle's press coverage...yes it is! A lot of the final result of the game will be determinate with this matchup. The Seahawks play a 4-3 defense that is a 4-4 due to Chancellor's position close to the line of scrimmage, man to man outside, zone inside with the LBs and get pressure with the d-line rotating a lot of player to always have fresh ones on the field. the Pats WR Lafell a part are far away to be physical enough to escape the press coverage in time to give Brady a chance to pass them the ball but the have Gronkowski who should make the difference but against a defense who doesn't have weak points he will face a zone coverage made by quick and hard hitting line backers and this will reduce his usual edge off speed against LBs, another huge problem for the Pats will be their o-line they will be under pressure so much right from the beginning even with blitzes and combined with the press coverage will reduce the available choice for them, that's why screens and play actions will be so important for them and it's now that they will need the best LaGarrette Blount who will need to be physical against a very physical defense, his effort will open up many chances to gain time for Brady to pass the ball, they should use even Vereen in some situations for release routes and screens against blitzing situations using his very good hands as a receiver. I think Brady will avoid to pass the ball deep due to the o-line issues and also due to Thomas III that will use his outstanding speed to help over the top against everybody because he is also so physical and that's why he should stop the Gronk's vertical seems (in my opinion the only 1 in Pats uniform who can go deep).
My final prediction is the repeat of the Seattle Seahawks with Lynch as the MVP and Gronkowski as the x factor who could change the game. Final result prediction: Seahawks 27 Patriots 20
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