domenica 18 gennaio 2015

NFL: AFC Championship New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts matchup analysis

The Colts will travel to Foxbourgh aknwledge that they never beat the Pats with Andrew Luck as their QB but they know that their defense is playing a way better than it did during the regular season and along with the o-line improvements brought them here to the Championship game in one of the most difficult field in the NFL to play.
The keys offensively for the Colts are of course continue to be great and tough on the line of scrimmage, Andrew Luck must be patient because as always happened against Belichick defense he made huge mistake reading the trick coverages that he prepared to destroy the Colts' QB major points of strenght, Luck should attack even the players picked up by Revis just to avoid to be predictable, another aspect that they have to care about will be their running game because the NE's defense will be so aware of the passing game that will be vulnerable on the ground especially on shotgun's runs.
Defensively they have to keep doing what they did thus far in playoffs that means be tough with their 3 
d-linemen against the typical Pats inside runs, not having a pure pass rusher they need a good group effort to put pressure on Brady even with blitzes due to the mediocre quality of the Pats o-line, S LaRon Landry that will probably be the man who will pick Gronkowski in the majority of the situations will need to play like he did against Julius Thomas one week ago with probably some help to stop the biggest threat of the Pats offense.
New England offense has to play more balanced than they did against Baltimore because the Colts defense maybe is worse than the Ravens one but it's a way more balanced that's why they will need a better running game at least to create chances of play actions something that Brady is a master to do, they also have to play with the 2 TEs on the field alternating them in blocking and receivng situations doing so they maybe would sacrifice some passes for Gronk using him in blocking but they will keep the Colts' defense completely uncertain of what Gronk's role will be.
On defense it's probable that they will play double coverage over  the top on Hilton with Browner on him on a press coverage on the line of scrimmage using his size advantage and on the other side they will put Revis on the veteran Reggie Wayne 1 on 1, their most important players on defense along with McCourthy and Revis  will be Collins and Hightower due to their pass rushing duties something that is so important to do when you will play against a team like the Colts who use their passing game as their major weapon.
My final result prediction is: Patriots 34 Colts 30 with Gronk as the MVP and Herron as the x-factor who could change the game.


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